For me, this year’s Oscar categories were either a case of “obvious winners” (Actor in a Leading Role, Documentary Feature, etc) or completely “up for grabs” (Actress in a Leading Role, Production Design, etc). I also felt like there were some clear snubs this year: eg. DUNE gets 10 nominations including Best Picture and no director nomination for Denis Villeneuve?? (So I wrote it in below.)
BEST PICTURE
Will Win: CODA
Should Win: CODA
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Will Win: Will Smith, KING RICHARD
Should Win: Will Smith, KING RICHARD
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Will Win: Kodi Smit-McPhee, THE POWER OF THE DOG
Should Win: Troy Kotsur, CODA
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Will Win: Jessica Chastain, THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE
Should Win: Jessica Chastain, THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Will Win: Ariana DeBose, WEST SIDE STORY
Should Win: Ariana DeBose, WEST SIDE STORY
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Will Win: ENCANTO
Should Win: THE MITCHELLS vs. THE MACHINES
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will Win: THE POWER OF THE DOG
Should Win: DUNE
COSTUME DESIGN
Will Win: CRUELLA
Should Win: CRUELLA
DIRECTING
Will Win: Jane Campion (THE POWER OF THE DOG)
Should Win: ??? Denis Villeneuve (DUNE) ???
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Will Win: SUMMER OF SOUL
Should Win: SUMMER OF SOUL
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Will Win: NA
Should Win: NA
FILM EDITING
Will Win: KING RICHARD
Should Win: DUNE
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
Will Win: DRIVE MY CAR
Should Win: DRIVE MY CAR
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Will Win: THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE
Should Win: THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE
ORIGINAL SCORE
Will Win: THE POWER OF THE DOG
Should Win: DUNE
ORIGINAL SONG
Will Win: "No Time To Die", NO TIME TO DIE
Should Win: "Dos Oruguitas", ENCANTO
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Will Win: NIGHTMARE ALLEY
Should Win: DUNE
ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Will Win: ROBIN, ROBIN
Should Win: ROBIN, ROBIN
LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Will Win: NA
Should Win: NA
SOUND
Will Win: DUNE
Should Win: DUNE
VISUAL EFFECTS
Will Win: DUNE
Should Win: DUNE
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will Win: CODA
Should Win: CODA
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will Win: BELFAST
Should Win: DON'T LOOK UP